| A
recent ESI survey showed that Ecological Modelling is a
journal rapidly advancing in publications and citations over
the past decade. Its publications and citations in the 1990-94
period were 478 and 592, respectively. These numbers increased
substantially in the 1995-99 period, to 992 and 1,868,
respectively. Current ESI data indicate that Ecological
Modelling ranks at #36 among Environment/Ecology journals,
with 1,711 papers and 6,812 citations. In this essay,
Editor-in-Chief Dr. Sven Jørgensen discusses the 25-year
history of this journal.
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Ecological Modelling
had its 25-year anniversary last year, which was celebrated at a
so-called Ecosummit meeting with the participation of several Elsevier
journals in the field of ecology. The first issues were published in
1975, and it was very difficult to get enough publications for the
first volume, although we only published 320 pages per annuum. Today, Ecological
Modelling publishes 3,600 pages per annuum, and we have enough
publications for about twice as many papers. Ecological modelling is a
well-recognized and widely used tool today in environmental management
and ecosystem research. Forty-three countries have published in the
journal; although most papers are coming from Western Europe (47%),
U.S. (33%), and Japan (9%), recently, several papers from China have
been submitted to the journal.
In accordance with the editorial
policy, the following topics are covered by the journal: ecological
modelling, application of ecosystem models in environmental
management, and ecosystem theory or system ecology. All three areas
are included, because our philosophy is that we cannot model a system
if we do not know its properties, and the experience gained from
application of models as an environmental management tool is very
valuable for the more theoretical modellers. On the other hand, the
very theoretical models can inspire the modellers of practical
environmental problems, and models are powerful tools in the
development of ecosystem theory, as it has been shown several times in
the journal.
Furthermore, the editorial policy is
to publish discussions of controversial papers and to be very open to
new ideas and theories. Such papers may not be correct in all detail
in the first instance, but by publishing them, a discussion gets
started and this will almost always lead to progress in our ecosystem
theories and modelling techniques. I believe that it is one of the
factors which has made the citation index grow lately.
The trends in ecological modelling
are towards application of a broader spectrum of modelling approaches.
Some examples of these include: artificial neural networks, fuzzy
modelling, and what is called structurally dynamic modelling, which is
able to describe the current changes in the properties of the dominant
species using a goal function. We also use more integrated models—models
which integrate land use with pollution in aquatic ecosystems or
landscape models or economic ecological models. Moreover, the journal
has a goal to facilitate reader access to the models published in the
journal. Recently, an interactive modelling course has been launched
on the internet in the hope to
get even more people interested in environmental problems and ecology
to get involved in modelling. Overall, the journal is ready to take up
the challenges that will inevitably come in the area of ecological
modelling and system ecology in the coming years.
Sven Erik Jørgensen, Professor, Dr.
Eng. Dr. Scient.
Editor-in-Chief, Ecological
Modelling
Elsevier Science, publishers
Copenhagen, Denmark
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